The information contained in this web site is not formulated to compete with:   
   > hurricane advisories and forcasts issued by the National Hurricane Center of Miami, which is the soul autorized hurricane center to issue outlooks, advisories and forcasts on tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific and North Atlantic.   
   > long term forcasts issued by the NOAA or research groups outside NOAA.  
We gratefully acknowledge the pioneering research of Dr. William Gray and others, which has significantly increased scientific understanding of the association between the various climate factors (particularly the El Niño/ La Niña cycle) and the atmospheric circulation features that affect Atlantic basin hurricane activity. We also acknowledge the leading role that Dr. Gray and colleagues at the Colorado State University have played in developing and providing seasonal forecasts of Atlantic basin tropical storm and hurricane activity (click  HERE  to obtain these forecasts. You can also see the status of the latest forecast by clicking   HERE. ). 
  
We (Project Atlantic Vortex Team) have built together a software integrating several sub-functions or called "modules" that give-out diffirent results in the form of numbers (numerical) or graphs/colors.  
associating statistics, dynamics in a 3D layered-mesh box to randomly generate scenes on possible tropical cyclone behaviour... track & intensity.  
   
We are under the official protocols: inclining to the official weather statements from the NHC which is the only weather institution (authorized by the WMO -World Meteorological Organization-) to issue tropical cyclone advisories & forecasts for the North Atlantic & Estern Pacific...  
Our web pages & emails (we do remind you) are served only to give a second opinion of the situation & should NOT be in any case considered to take decisions, but you should, instead, follow information giving by your local weather office & local government authorities !   
   
Our goal is to inform as accurately as possible with the leas of updates about tropical weather phenomenon... to share with others our knowledge about hurricanes & our passion for the study of natural disasters (earthquakes; tsunamies; volcanoes; avalanches; tornadoes; hurricanes; electrical storms ....)... to share data with senior & professional weather experts and be able one day to have our computer model used by the NHC giving a close to 0% error both in predicting cyclone's track and intensity.  
   
Some days we send out near to 6 emails by goups... st martin's group, puerto rico's group, barbados' group, ....etc.  
Some groups are comprised of 8600 persons !  
Some emails are different than others with more or less technical data for those who eventually are in the marine sector.  
    
Some of you have been asking us a lot lately if the increase of cyclones are related to Global Warming... the answer seems to be NO... in reality there has been a decrease in number of cyclones across the world since 1970.  
Recent great floodings worlwide in Europe, Japan, China, Mexico, Some Caribbean islands seem a bit unsual but have happened in the past.  
   
Infact we have the honour to have Benjamin Boyrard with us...he has published two technical reports: 1 on hurricanes (Ouragan in 1999) , in an associated research with 2 of his ex-university professors in Guadeloupe. 2 on Global Warming and the consequenses in 2002, which has been a tool of discusion amongst scientists and published reports in the USA Today !  
   
And our own Smith LAVERN who developed vector applications for satellite imagery at Wisconsin University used today by 100's of weather web sites !  
   
A team I am proud to work with and hope to do more later in time.